Copenhagen, Denmark
Onsite/Online

ESTRO 2022

Session Item

Saturday
May 07
14:15 - 15:15
Mini-Oral Theatre 1
05: Image acquisition & processing
Malin Kügele, Sweden;
Nanna Sijtsema, The Netherlands
1420
Mini-Oral
Physics
Is Monte Carlo uncertainty a good predictor of manual adjustments of deep-learning contours?
Georgia-Valeria Ionescu, United Kingdom
MO-0213

Abstract

Is Monte Carlo uncertainty a good predictor of manual adjustments of deep-learning contours?
Authors:

Georgia Ionescu1, Pádraig Looney1, Julien M. Y. Willaime1, Femke Vaasen2, Wouter van Elmpt3, Mark J. Gooding1

1Mirada Medical, Science, Oxford, United Kingdom; 2Maastro Clinic, Medical Physics, Maastricht, The Netherlands; 3Maastro Clinic, Medical Physics, Maastricht, The Netherlands

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Purpose or Objective

Deep learning contouring has been proven to be highly efficient at delineating structures in radiotherapy, but models do not generally provide information regarding regions that are difficult to contour, where the model is uncertain. It has been suggested that regions with high model uncertainty might require increased attention and more manual editing than regions where models are certain.

This study aimed to assess whether the amount of manual adjustment of auto-contouring in routine clinical practice can be predicted by the uncertainty of the auto-contouring system. 

Material and Methods

In this study, the heart and esophagus of 100 thorax cases were contoured using a deep learning model and subsequently reviewed and edited for clinical use.

The uncertainty of the deep learning model was calculated using Monte Carlo Dropout in the CNN’s final layers. The distance between clinician’s contours and the automated contours were compared with the uncertainty of contours predicted by the automated model.

Spearman’s correlation coefficient was used for measuring the degree of association between the amount of manual contour adjustments and the uncertainty.

Additionally, a qualitative assessment investigated whether regions of the AI generated contours that had no manual adjustments were associated with low uncertainty of the deep learning model.

Results

The results showed a weak positive correlation between contour edits and uncertainty. Spearman coefficient was 0.22 (p<0.001) for esophagus and 0.47 (p<0.001) for heart. However, as shown in Figure 2, there are regions of the AI generated contours not edited by clinicians which corresponded to regions with varying levels of uncertainty.

A qualitative assessment showed numerous examples of contour regions where low uncertainty corresponded to major edits, and regions with high uncertainty that had no edits (see Figure 2). 

Conclusion

The weak correlations between contour edits and model uncertainty suggests that the Monte Carlo uncertainty is not a strong predictor of manual adjustments of contours. This suggests that using model uncertainty is an unsuitable approach to highlight contour regions that may need clinician’s attention.

Future work will include investigating whether model uncertainty correlates with clinical uncertainty and whether regions with high model uncertainty and no edits might be caused by low image contrast.


 

Figure 1: Examples of contours. The automated contours are shown in dark blue. The light blue contours represent the 10% and 90% of the contours predicted using Monte Carlo Dropout. Red contours were that drawn by clinicians after seeing the automated contour. The distance between dark blue and red is the edit; the distance between the two light blue contours is the uncertainty.  The images show: (a) high uncertainty and high edit, (b) low uncertainty and high edit, (c) high uncertainty and low edit, and (d) low uncertainty and low edit.


Figure 2: Heatmap of uncertainty vs edit for (a) heart and (b) esophagus.